Tesla stock performance

How is TSLA performing?

{"response_type": "market_analysis", "acknowledgement": "Here's the recent performance overview for TSLA.", "answer": "**TSLA** has declined -3.5% over the past year, with an annualized return of +7.47%. The stock experienced a maximum drawdown of -39.1% around July 29, 2026, and its current drawdown is -33.14%. The volatility remains high, with an annualized figure of 46.36%, indicating substantial risk and price swings. \n\n**Recent price movement** shows it is still trading below its one-year starting point ($339.38), reflecting ongoing pressure.\n\nWould you like to analyze TSLA's earnings, compare it with peers, or explore its fundamentals?", "interpretation": "TSLA's performance over the past year has been negative overall, with significant drawdowns highlighting volatility and risk tilts. Its high volatility suggests unpredictable price swings, possibly driven by broader market sentiment or company-specific news. Investors should watch for earnings reports or product updates that could influence its momentum. The sizable drawdowns also point to potential support or reversal levels worth exploring.", "hypothesis": {"text": "The high volatility and drawdowns suggest investor sentiment may be oscillating due to macro concerns or company-specific events, possibly amplified by recent earnings or production outlooks.", "confidence": "Moderate"}, "insights": ["TSLA is currently in a downtrend relative to its 1-year high.", "High volatility (~46%) signals increased market risk for traders."], "suggested_questions": ["Compare TSLA with closest peers", "Check TSLA earnings history", "View TSLA technical trend"], "charts": [{"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Performance (1Y)", "data": [{"label": "Start Price (Aug 2025)", "value": 339.38}, {"label": "End Price (Aug 2026)", "value": 327.51}]}, {"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Max Drawdown & Current Drawdown", "data": [{"label": "Max Drawdown", "value": -39.1}, {"label": "Current Drawdown", "value": -33.14}]}], "actions": [{"label": "Compare TSLA with peers", "action_type": "compare_returns", "parameters": {"tickers": ["TSLA"], "period": "1y"}}], "supporting_data": [], "risk_watch": "", "structured_data": null}

Check TSLA earnings history

{"response_type": "stock_research", "acknowledgement": "Here's the recent earnings history for TSLA.", "answer": "**TSLA**'s recent quarterly earnings have shown some variability:\n- In Q3 2025, EPS was $0.50, which missed estimates by -10.5%.\n- In Q4 2025, EPS was $0.50, beating estimates by +11%.\n- In Q1 2026, EPS was $0.41, an overperformance of +17.1%.\n- In Q2 2026, EPS was $0.33, missing estimates significantly by -38.4%. \n\nUpcoming earnings are scheduled for October 21, 2026, with an EPS estimate of $0.46. Past results indicate variable surprises, with some quarters beating estimates and others missing substantially, notably Q2 2026. The earnings volatility may influence recent stock performance and market risk.\n\nWould you like to review analyst ratings, compare with peers, or explore TSLA's fundamentals in more detail?", "interpretation": "TSLA's earnings have demonstrated notable variability, which likely influences its volatile performance and risk profile. The recent miss in Q2 2026 could contribute to technical weakness and investor caution. Monitoring upcoming results and guidance will help assess whether this pattern of surprise shifts or persists, affecting future stock movements.", "hypothesis": {"text": "The variability in earnings surprises reflects market expectations adjusting to company-specific factors or macro pressures, potentially impacting TSLA's recent downtrend.", "confidence": "Moderate"}, "insights": ["TSLA's earnings surprises have been inconsistent, affecting investor sentiment.", "Upcoming report on October 21 may signal a shift in earnings momentum."], "suggested_questions": ["Check TSLA analyst ratings", "Compare TSLA with peer automakers", "Review TSLA revenue growth"], "charts": [{"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Quarterly EPS Performance", "data": [{"label": "Q3 2025", "value": 0.5}, {"label": "Q4 2025", "value": 0.5}, {"label": "Q1 2026", "value": 0.41}, {"label": "Q2 2026", "value": 0.33}]}, {"type": "bar", "title": "EPS Surprise % (Q3 2025 - Q2 2026)", "data": [{"label": "Q3 2025", "value": -10.53}, {"label": "Q4 2025", "value": 10.96}, {"label": "Q1 2026", "value": 17.15}, {"label": "Q2 2026", "value": -38.35}]}], "actions": [{"label": "Compare TSLA with automaker peers", "action_type": "compare_returns", "parameters": {"tickers": ["TSLA"], "period": "1y"}}], "supporting_data": [], "risk_watch": "", "structured_data": null}

Check TSLA analyst ratings

{"response_type": "stock_research", "acknowledgement": "Here's the latest analyst ratings for TSLA.", "answer": "**TSLA** currently has a median price target of $415, with analysts' targets ranging from $125 to $600. The recommendation consensus is mixed, with the majority maintaining a 'Buy' or 'Overweight' rating, but some firms have recently downgraded to 'Neutral' or 'Hold'.\n\nMost analysts seem optimistic about TSLA's potential, reflected in the median target being significantly above the current price of $327.51. Upgrades from firms like Mizuho and RBC indicate some confidence in future growth, though overall sentiment is cautious given recent rating changes.\n\nWould you like to see detailed analyst comments, recent upgrades/downgrades, or compare these ratings with industry peers?", "interpretation": "The broad consensus suggests that analysts remain relatively constructive on TSLA's long-term prospects, but recent downgrades and wide target range highlight some uncertainty. The current price is below the median target, indicating potential upside. The latest ratings and target updates imply caution, and monitoring upcoming earnings could provide further insights.", "hypothesis": {"text": "Analyst optimism is anchored in TSLA's growth potential, but recent rating changes reflect risk considerations and earnings variability.", "confidence": "Moderate"}, "insights": ["Median analyst price target of $415 suggests upside potential from current levels.", "Recent downgrades and rating shifts indicate cautious short-term sentiment despite long-term optimism."], "suggested_questions": ["Compare TSLA with EV sector peers", "Check recent TSLA upgrade/downgrade trends", "Review TSLA growth projections"], "charts": [{"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Price Targets by Analysts", "data": [{"label": "Median Target", "value": 415.0}, {"label": "High Target", "value": 600.0}, {"label": "Low Target", "value": 125.0}]}, {"type": "pie", "title": "Analyst Ratings Breakdown", "data": [{"label": "Buy", "value": 17.0}, {"label": "Strong Buy", "value": 6.0}, {"label": "Hold", "value": 18.0}, {"label": "Sell", "value": 4.0}, {"label": "Strong Sell", "value": 2.0}]}], "actions": [{"label": "Compare TSLA with EV sector peers", "action_type": "compare_returns", "parameters": {"tickers": ["TSLA"], "period": "1y"}}], "supporting_data": [], "risk_watch": "", "structured_data": {"template": "stock_analysis", "stocks": [{"ticker": "TSLA", "analyst": {"mean_target": 396.62274, "high": 600.0, "low": 125.0, "buy": 23, "hold": 18, "sell": 6}}]}}

Check recent TSLA upgrade/downgrade trends

{"response_type": "stock_research", "acknowledgement": "Here's the recent trend in TSLA analyst upgrades and downgrades.", "answer": "Over the past year, TSLA has experienced a total return of -3.5%, with an annualized return of 7.47%. The stock's volatility has been high, with an annualized volatility of 46.36%. The maximum drawdown over this period was -39.1%, occurring on July 29, 2026, with a current drawdown of -33.14%. \n\nRecent analyst ratings include multiple firms issuing upgrades and downgrades: on July 23, several firms shifted ratings, including Mizuho maintaining an 'Outperform' and RBC upgrading to 'Outperform'; on July 24, Piper Sandler upgraded TSLA to 'Overweight'; and on August 3, Stifel reaffirmed a 'Buy' rating.\n\nOverall, there has been some upward revision sentiment amid a mixture of downgrades and hold ratings. This pattern indicates cautious optimism balanced with some concern from analysts.\n\nWould you like a detailed timeline of all upgrades/downgrades, or compare with sector peers?", "interpretation": "The recent rating activity shows a nuanced view from analysts, with some upgrades signaling confidence in TSLA's valuation or prospects, while downgrades reflect ongoing caution. The mix suggests investors should weigh these signals alongside upcoming earnings and macro factors. The general trend hints at cautious optimism rather than outright enthusiasm.", "hypothesis": {"text": "Analyst ratings are reflecting a transitional phase, balancing short-term risks with long-term growth expectations for TSLA.", "confidence": "Moderate"}, "insights": ["Multiple firms issued upgrades on July 23-24, indicating some positive sentiment.", "Ratings remain mixed, with some downgrades and steady hold ratings signaling caution."], "suggested_questions": ["Compare TSLA with EV sector upgrades", "Review TSLA analyst rating history", "Check TSLA earnings outlook"], "charts": [{"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Recent Upgrade/Downgrade Counts", "data": [{"label": "Upgrades", "value": 5.0}, {"label": "Downgrades", "value": 8.0}]}], "actions": [{"label": "Compare TSLA with EV sector upgrades", "action_type": "compare_returns", "parameters": {"tickers": ["TSLA"], "period": "1y"}}], "supporting_data": [], "risk_watch": "", "structured_data": {"template": "stock_analysis", "stocks": [{"ticker": "TSLA", "analyst": {"mean_target": 396.62274, "high": 600.0, "low": 125.0, "buy": 23, "hold": 18, "sell": 6}}]}}

Check TSLA earnings outlook

{"response_type": "stock_research", "acknowledgement": "Here's the latest TSLA earnings outlook based on analyst estimates.", "answer": "**TSLA**'s upcoming quarter (Q4 2026) is expected to report an EPS of around $0.46, which is slightly below the previous year's Q4 EPS of $0.50, indicating a mild decline of about -8.7%. For the full year, analysts project an EPS of approximately $1.79, representing an 8% increase compared to last year.\n\nRevenue estimates for the next quarter stand at about $27.5 billion, slightly down from last year's same period but forecasted to grow roughly 14% year-over-year for the full year.\n\nThe growth estimates suggest a modest acceleration in earnings and revenue, but with some degree of short-term softness expected in quarterly EPS.\n\nWould you like to explore the detailed earnings growth projections, compare to industry peers, or review TSLA's revenue trends?", "interpretation": "TSLA's outlook shows moderate earnings growth, with some anticipated quarter-over-quarter decline but positive full-year momentum. This aligns with the company's long-term growth trajectory, though short-term earnings could face headwinds that investors should watch. Strength in revenue growth indicates underlying operational resilience, supporting the bullish outlook for the year.", "hypothesis": {"text": "The slight EPS decline in upcoming quarters suggests near-term margin pressures or production challenges, but overall growth remains intact due to strong revenue expansion.", "confidence": "Moderate"}, "insights": ["Expected EPS of $0.46 for next quarter indicates a slight short-term softness.", "Revenue growth forecasts of about 14% year-over-year support long-term optimism."], "suggested_questions": ["Compare TSLA revenue with peers", "Check TSLA earnings history", "Review TSLA profit margins"], "charts": [{"type": "bar", "title": "TSLA Earnings Estimates (Next Year)", "data": [{"label": "EPS", "value": 1.79}, {"label": "Revenue ($B)", "value": 120.6}]}, {"type": "bar", "title": "Quarterly EPS Outlook", "data": [{"label": "Q4 2026", "value": 0.46}, {"label": "Q4 2025", "value": 0.5}]}], "actions": [{"label": "Compare TSLA revenue with peers", "action_type": "compare_returns", "parameters": {"tickers": ["TSLA"], "period": "1y"}}], "supporting_data": [], "risk_watch": "", "structured_data": null}